Alibaba Group. $BABA Extreme Area Offering a Buying Opportunity

Hello everyone! In today’s article, we’ll review the recent performance of Alibaba Group. ($BABA) through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. We’ll review how the rally from the Jan 8th 2026 low unfolded as a 5-wave impulse followed by a 3-swing correction (ABC) and discuss what could come next. Let’s explore the structure and the expectations for this stock.

5 Wave Impulse Structure + ABC correction

$BABA 1H Elliott Wave Chart 1.18.2026:

In the 1H chart from Jan 18, 2026, $BABA completed a clear 5-wave impulsive cycle labeled red 1. After such a move, a corrective pullback is typical. As expected, the stock began to retrace in three swings, forming what we identify as an ABC correction.

The price action suggested that buyers would likely appear near the extreme area between $166.53 and $162.31. This zone represents the ideal region where a correction usually ends and a new bullish cycle begins.

In other words, the market took a brief pause before potentially resuming its primary uptrend. Therefore, this structure aligns well with a standard Elliott Wave correction, offering traders a technical roadmap.

$BABA 1H Elliott Wave Chart 1.22.2026:

Few days later, the stock bounced and made new highs confirming the bullish trend. Currently, it is looking to remain supported against 1/20 low and higher in wave 3 of (3). Longs should be risk free and looking for $190-207 area as the next possible target.

Conclusion

In conclusion, our Elliott Wave analysis of $BABA suggests the stock continues to trade within a bullish framework. By using Elliott Wave Theory, traders can better anticipate market structure, identify continuation zones, and plan trades with greater confidence.

In addition, understanding how impulse and correction phases interact helps improve risk control, especially in volatile markets like this one. Therefore, maintaining flexibility and discipline remains key as this structure evolves.

Source: https://elliottwave-forecast.c...