I Wish I’d Learned This Earlier: “Guaranteed Returns” Are Never a Feature of Real Trading

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I Wish I’d Learned This Earlier: “Guaranteed Returns” Are Never a Feature of Real Trading

As someone who has spent years in the markets, reading about the Tadrus Capital case is a reminder of a lesson I wish more people, myself included earlier in my career, had learned sooner. Any time someone promises guaranteed monthly returns, especially wrapped in buzzwords like “algorithmic trading,” it should immediately raise alarms. Real trading doesn’t guarantee outcomes, no matter how sophisticated the strategy sounds.
What makes this case particularly painful is how trust within a close-knit community was exploited, turning faith and familiarity into tools for fraud. I’ve seen this pattern repeat itself over and over: pooled funds, secret strategies, early payouts to build confidence, and then personal misuse of money once the inflow slows. Enforcement actions and restitution orders come eventually, but they always arrive after damage is done. I wish the industry had been clearer much earlier that certainty in markets is an illusion, and anyone selling it is selling something else entirely.

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