Daily digest market movers: Gold price climbs amid tumbling US yields
- Gold’s gains are sponsored by the drop in US Treasury yields and a soft US Dollar. The US 10-year Treasury bond yield dropped five basis points (bps) to 4.612%, a tailwind for the non-yielding metal. At the same time, the Greenback, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), surrendered below 106.00, falling 0.43% to trade at 105.63.
- Last week’s softer than expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was overshadowed by the jump in the core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for Q1 2024 to 3.7%. Even though that spooked investors to price out the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts for 2024, the monthly reading of the core PCE at 2.8% YoY relieved traders, sparking an improvement in market mood.
- On May 3, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is expected to reveal April’s Nonfarm Payrolls figures, which are expected to come at 243K, below March’s 303K. The Unemployment Rate is estimated to stay unchanged at 3.8%, while Average Hourly Earnings (AHE) would likely remain unchanged at 0.3% MoM.
- Data from the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) suggests that traders expect the fed funds rate to finish 2024 at 5.035%, down from 5.050% last Friday.
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