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Daily Digest Market Movers: Japanese Yen bulls remain on the sidelines ahead of BoJ and the key US macro data

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  • Government data showed on Friday that consumer inflation in Tokyo decelerated sharply in April and dashed hopes for any hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan, undermining the Japanese Yen. 
  • The headline Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.8% YoY in April, while core CPI (ex-Fresh Food, Energy) increased by 1.8% YoY during the reported month, both missing consensus estimates. 
  • A core CPI gauge that excludes both fresh food and energy prices and is closely watched by the BoJ as a gauge of underlying inflation fell below the 2% target for the first time since September 2022. 
  • From the US, the Commerce Department reported on Thursday that Gross Domestic Product grew at a 1.6% annualized rate in the January-March period, marking the weakest reading since mid-2022. 
  • This pointed to a significant loss of momentum at the start of 2024, though was offset by a rise in the underlying inflation, which reaffirmed bets that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer. 
  • A Jiji report indicated that the BoJ might buy fewer bonds, pushing Japan’s five-year bond yield to the highest level since April 2011, albeit does little to provide any meaningful boost to the JPY. 
  • Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated that he is closely monitoring FX fluctuations and that he will prepare to take full steps on the currency, though declined to comment on details of the policy.
  • Meanwhile, traders now seem reluctant and prefer to wait for the crucial BoJ policy decision, which will be followed by the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.


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