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浅谈美盘黄金走势

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朋友们周四上午好!

下面分享一下我今天对黄金的看法:

技术面来看

黄金昨夜10点H4收线后开始短线走高至2337附近

后迅速回落至2313,行情继续陷入盘整

上方并未站稳2330上方

日线级别继续收阴,表明上方压力比较大

日内重点关注2330短线多空分水岭

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基本面来看,晚间有几大数据需要关注

其一是当周失业金数据,其二是第一季度PCE和GDP

前者影响黄金日内短期走势,后者关系到黄金后市走向。

结合前几周数据分析,美国劳动力市场还是比较强劲。本周失业金申请人数应该是低于预期,大概率还是利空,晚间黄金短线下行概率增加。

GDP反映的是美国内经济数据,如若GDP反响乐观,美联储可能会进一步降低降息预期(甚至为了稳定通胀可能会反向加息),会进一步打压黄金的走势。

PCE物价指数反映的是民众消费的通胀水平,低于预期,也表明民间通胀降低(经济良好>利好美元>打压黄金)高于预期则反之。

日内黄金走势个人更偏向于高空操作,具体走势还要等数据的助推,才能出来方向。

(本文由李诺价投研究撰,严禁抄袭搬运,转载请注明出处)

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