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GOLD PRICE STANDS TALL NEAR ALL-TIME PEAK, EYES $2,400 MARK AMID GEOPOLITICAL RISKS

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  • Gold price continues to scale new record highs amid persistent geopolitical tensions.
  • The strong move up seems unaffected by reduced Fed rate cut bets and bullish USD.
  • Extremely overbought conditions might prompt some profit-taking around the metal.

Gold price (XAU/USD) prolongs the recent well-established uptrend and climbs to the $2,400 neighborhood, or a fresh all-time high during the Asian session on Friday. Investors remain concerned about the risk of a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor benefiting the safe-haven precious metal. Apart from this, expectations that major central banks will cut interest rates this year offer additional support to the non-yielding yellow metal and contribute to the positive move. 

Bulls, meanwhile, seem rather unaffected by the recent US Dollar (USD) bullish run, bolstered by reduced bets for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to undermine demand for the Gold price. Investors pushed back expectations about the timing of the first rate cut to September from June following the release of hot US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday. Market participants also pared their bets for the number of interest rate cuts this year to fewer than two from about three or four a few weeks ago.

That said, extremely overstretched conditions on daily, weekly and monthly charts might hold back traders from placing fresh bullish bets around the Gold price. Nevertheless, the XAU/USD remains on track to register gains for the fourth straight week, also marking the seventh in the previous eight. Moving ahead, the release of the Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which, along with speeches by influential FOMC members, will drive the USD demand and produce short-term trading opportunities around the precious metal. 


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