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New Zealand Dollar in downtrend as negative fundamentals weigh

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The New Zealand Dollar is under pressure. The latest figures from Statistics New Zealand showed the New Zealand economy contracted by 0.1% in Q4 of 2023 following a 0.3% contraction in Q3. 

At the same time, headline inflation remained relatively high at 4.7% during the same reporting period, although it showed a slowdown from the 5.6% recorded in Q3. 

Normally weak growth would call for lower interest rates. However, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cannot cut interest rates because of too-high inflation. Elevated price growth is partly a result of structural issues such as a tight labor market, which in turn keeps wage inflation high. 

In his speech on Tuesday, Governor Orr said the RBNZ remains “laser-focused on its job to control inflation.” 

“We're now in a much happier space, where most central banks feel we're back on top of inflation, [but we are] not there yet,” he added. 


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