技术分析 – 金价连创历史新高
- 黄金在过去数日大幅上涨
- 连创历史新高
- 动量指标显示超买状态
金价在3月初强劲突破50日移动平均线（SMA）后大幅飙升，连创一系列历史新高。然而，随着短期震荡指标显示超买信号，金价可能即将出现回调。
若持续反弹，金价或将突破新高度，下行的斐波那契（对应图中2,079-1,810）可能形成阻力。继而多头可能首先试图突破斐波那契178.6%位置的价格2,290，继而测试斐波那契200.0%位置的价格2,347。继续上行，金价可能在2,500关口遇阻。
若金价回调，则可能跌至斐波那契161.8%位置的价格2,245，继而测试斐波那契150.0%位置的价格2,213。若成功跌破此处，价格或将触及斐波那契138.2%位置的价格2,181。继续下行，价格可能在斐波那契123.6%位置的价格2,142处止跌。
简而言之，黄金在过去数日连创历史新高，甚至突破布林带上轨。不过，鉴于技术指标反映上涨过度，下行回调风险或将加剧。
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