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Daily digest market movers: Looking for clues before looking for chocolate eggs

ia7145
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  • At 12:30 GMT the main data release to look out for:
    • Personal Consumption Expenditures for February:
      • Headline monthly PCE seen heading from 0.3% to 0.4%.
      • Headline yearly PCE is expected to head from 2.4% to 2.5%.
      • Core monthly PCE is expected to head from 0.4% to 0.3%.
      • The core yearly PCE Index should remain stable at 2.8%.
    • The US Goods trade balance for February will also be published after reporting a  $91.6 billion deficit in January. 
    • Personal Income is expected to increase 0.4% in February, slowing from 1% rise seen in January.
    • Personal Spending should rise from 0.2% to 0.5%.
    • Wholesale Inventories data for February will be released as well. In January, inventories fell by 0.3%..
  • At 15:15 GMT, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly will kick off the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Conference. She will be followed by a statement from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at around 15:30 GMT. 
  • Equities will not be moving this Friday with both Europe and US markets closed. 
  • According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, expectations for the Fed’s May 1 meeting are at 95.8% for keeping the fed funds rate unchanged, while chances of a rate cut are at 4.2%.
  • The benchmark 10-year US Treasury Note trades around 4.20%, up from 4.18% earlier this week. 


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