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Daily digest market movers: US Dollar offers weak profile as US economy starts showing some cracks

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  • The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for February dropped lower than anticipated with a 106.7 print against the expected 115.
  • US Durable Goods Orders plunged by 6.1% in January, far more than the 4.5% decline expected.
  • As per the CME FedWatch Tool, the Federal Reserve's unwillingness to cut rates prematurely has shifted market sentiment. Reduction odds for March have dropped to zero, with May's likelihood of a cut down to 20%. As for now, the most likely scenario is that the easing starts in June.
  • In case PCE and GDP data come in softer than expected, those odds may change in favor of dovish rhetoric that weighs on the US Dollar.



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