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Daily digest market movers: Remains supported by reduced ECB rate-cut bets, softer USD

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  • The recent hawkish comments by European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, suggesting that the central bank shouldn’t rush into a decision to cut interest rates, continue to underpin the shared currency.
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde told lawmakers that wage pressures remain strong across the region and are anticipated to be an increasingly important driver of inflation dynamics in the coming quarters.
  • Lagarde added that there are increasing signs of a bottoming-out in growth and some forward-looking indicators point to a pick-up later this year, pushing back market expectations for early interest rate cuts.
  • The yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond remains depressed near 4.275%, which is seen undermining the US Dollar and lending additional support to the EUR/USD pair on Tuesday.
  • A looming recession risk in Germany – the Eurozone's largest economy – keeps a lid on any further gains for the Euro amid expectations that inflation is moving back towards the ECB’s 2% annual target.
  • The FOMC meeting minutes released last week, along with several Federal Reserve officials, suggested that the US central bank will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation and a resilient economy.
  • Traders now look to the US macro data – Durable Goods Orders, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index – for short-term opportunities on Tuesday.
  • The focus, however, remains glued to this week's release of the closely-watched flash Eurozone consumer inflation figures and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index

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