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Daily digest market movers: Gold advanced despite investors pushing back Fed rate cuts to June

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  • The CME FedWatch Tool sees traders expect the first 25 bps rate cut by the Fed in June 2024.
  • As of today, investors are pricing in 102 basis points of easing throughout 2024.
  • The US Dollar Index, tracking the performance of the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, is currently trading within a narrow range around 104.20.
  • The latest inflation reports from the US triggered a change of language from Fed officials, who struck a “cautious” tone. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic suggested the Fed is in no rush to ease policy, saying the Fed could be patient.
  • In regard to that, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly stated, “We will need to resist the temptation to act quickly when patience is needed and be prepared to respond agilely as the economy evolves.”
  • This week, the US economic schedule will feature the release of the latest Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes alongside Fed officials' speeches beginning on Wednesday.
  • Traders will get further cues from US S&P Global PMIs, Initial Jobless Claims data and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, usually a prelude to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI.

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