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EUR/USD EDGES HIGHER AND CLINGS TO 1.0700 AMID DOVISH FED COMMENTS

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  • EUR/USD advances on dropping US Treasury yields and Chicago Fed’s President Goolsbee's comments.
  • US PPI indicates the continuation of the disinflationary process.
  • Eurozone dodges a recession in Q4 2023; Lagarde’s speech eyed.

The EUR/USD climbs during the North American session registers 0.08% gains courtesy of a drop in US Treasury bond yields after Tuesday’s inflation report in the United States. Also, stronger-than-expected Eurozone data sponsored the jump to a daily high of 1.0719. At the time of writing, the pair exchanges hands at 1.0716.

US inflation decelerates but stays above Fed’s 2% goal

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that inflation is anchored above the 3% threshold in headline and core inflation. Recently, the Bureau revealed that prices paid by producers – also known as PPI – plunged to -0.2%, exceeding November’s drop. The core PPI stood at -0.1%, both figures on a monthly basis, suggesting that inflation indeed is cooling down.

Besides that, falling US Treasury bond yields are weighing on the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks a basket of the currency against the other six, falls 0.02%, down to 104.84.

As of writing, Chicago’s Fed President Austan Goolsbee justified that if inflation comes a bit higher over the next months, it would be consistent with our (Fed) path back to target. Goolsbee emphasized his posture to ease policy even though inflation isn’t in the 2% threshold in yearly figures.

Across the pond, the Gross Domestic Product in the Eurozone was flat in Q4 at 0% on a quarterly basis, while compared to 2022, it rose 0.1%. Despite that, Germany, the largest economy of the block, contracted -0.3% QoQ.

In the European session, European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-President Luis De Guindos commented that incoming data signals economic weakness in the near term, and emphasized the disinflationary process continues.

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