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FxPro汇评:德国工业做好复苏准备了吗?

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12月份工业订单增长了8.9%,而预期是下降0.1%,这对于德国来说是一个罕见的积极信号,但欧元选择忽略了这一点。这是自2020年中期封锁以来最强劲的月度增长。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:与去年同期相比,经济同比增长了2.7%。在过去两年里,同比的同比增长率是罕见的,因为几次峰值并没有打破总体下降趋势。欧洲市场的交易者可能会寻找这种异常情况,而忽视今天的乐观数据。然而,然而,我们可能正在看到一个相对较长时期内天然气价格低廉、这是中国刺激措施的影响以及通胀冲击后经济的适应效应所产生的结果。

FxPro汇评:德国工业做好复苏准备了吗?

因此,假设下个月订单继续上升。那么,在似乎只有懒惰的人才不会去谈论欧元区最大经济体的去工业化之迹,这将是一个转机。

我们还将在周三关注德国的工业生产数据——这也会有类似的强劲增长吗?如果是这样,市场可能会急于抛售欧元。

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