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EUR/SEK: TARGET SET AT 11.60 IN 6-12 MONTHS – DANSKE BANK

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Last year ended on a strong note for the Swedish Krona (SEK). Economists at Danske Bank analyze EUR/SEK outlook.

Global macro cycle does not bode well for the SEK in 2024

The cyclical backdrop remains a headwind for the SEK amid subpar and even recession-like European growth outlook. 

The Riksbank will not lag the ECB in the easing cycle, which leaves the SEK in a vulnerable position. Repricing of central banks may hurt risk sentiment. 

The structural flows picture is still a medium-term headwind for the SEK. 

Should the global economy pick up more than expected in 2024, this could lend support to the SEK over the medium term.


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