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DAX 40: LOCAL CORRECTION IN THE BOND MARKET IS A DRIVER OF INDEX GROWTH

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DAX 40: LOCAL CORRECTION IN THE BOND MARKET IS A DRIVER OF INDEX GROWTH
Scenario
TimeframeWeekly
RecommendationBUY STOP
Entry Point17070.0
Take Profit17410.0
Stop Loss16900.0
Key Levels16530.0, 16850.0, 17070.0, 17410.0
Alternative scenario
RecommendationSELL STOP
Entry Point16850.0
Take Profit16530.0
Stop Loss17000.0
Key Levels16530.0, 16850.0, 17070.0, 17410.0

Current trend

The leading index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange DAX 40 is correcting at around 17012.0: the upward dynamics are intensifying against the backdrop of a local correction in the bond market and ahead of the publication of new corporate reports.

Tomorrow, the Austrian banking group Raiffeisen Bank International will publish its financial results: revenue is expected to be 2.07 billion euros, slightly lower than the 2.25 billion euros shown in the previous quarter, and earnings per share are expected to be 1.84 euros after 2.79 euros in the previous period. Forecasts for financial group Banco Santander's report call for revenue of 14.47 billion euros, down from 14.86 billion euros previously recorded, and earnings per share of around 0.163 euros, down from 0.17 euros in the previous quarter.

The growth of the index is still supported by the situation in the bond market, where there has been a local downward correction: 10-year bonds dropped to 2.228% from 2.364%, the highest value recorded in the middle of the month, and the rate on 20-year bonds is 2.491%, inferior to 2.586%. shown a week earlier.

The growth leaders in the index are Continental AG ( 3.47%), Zalando SE ( 3.45%), Rheinmetall AG ( 3.03%), Vonovia SE ( 2.03%).

Among the leaders of the decline are Bayer AG (-4.86%), Infineon Technologies AG (-2.40%), Commerzbank AG (-1.31%).

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the price is trading in a corrective trend, preparing to update the local high at 17000.0.

Technical indicators have already completely reversed towards growth and are ready to strengthen the current buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram, being in the buy zone, is forming ascending bars.

Support levels: 16850.0, 16530.0.

Resistance levels: 17070.0, 17410.0.

DAX 40: LOCAL CORRECTION IN THE BOND MARKET IS A DRIVER OF INDEX GROWTH

Trading tips

If the asset continues growing locally and the price consolidates above the local resistance level of 17070.0, long positions will be relevant with target at 17410.0. Stop-loss — 16900.0. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the asset continues declining and the price consolidates below 16850.0, short positions can be opened with the target at 16530.0. Stop-loss — 17000.0.


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