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EUR/GBP DIVES TO LOWS SINCE SEPTEMBER, EYES ON ECB MEETING

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  • The EUR/GBP slightly recovered to 0.8555 after hitting a low of 0.8545.
  • The ECB meets this Thursday with no policy change expected.
  • The Pound maintains superiority over the Euro due to anticipations of less easing by the BoE in 2024.

In Tuesday's trading session, the EUR/GBP stabilised at 0.8555 after hitting its lowest level since September lows around 0.8545. Weak Consumer Confidence data from the European Commission, weakened the Euro, while the Pound has a slight advantage as markets bet on less easing of the Bank of England (BoE) in 2024.

As for now, the United Kingdom and the Eurozone economies continue to navigate uncertainties with both regions noticing demands for loans and credit dropping in Q4. The British economy is holding somewhat resilient with inflation remaining stubbornly high which is making markets expect less easing by the Bank of England in 2024.

The ECB (European Central Bank) meets on Thursday and President Lagarde might resist market bets on policy easing and maintain a cautious. As for now, investors are forecasting 150 bps of rate cuts in 2024 but the policy statement and Lagarde's tone might affect those odds. Regarding the BoE, its next meeting is due on March 6 and markets are seeing less easing than the ECB, of 125 bps in 2024 which seems to be giving a slight advantage to the Pound over the Euro

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