USD rebound is unfolding given the richness of US rates curve. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze Greenack’s outlook.
EUR/USD could move back down to around the 1.06/1.07 area in February
While inflation is falling quite quickly now for the FOMC to cut we will need to see some clearer evidence of a deteriorating labour market that would prompt increased fears of recession. That of course may well come in either the February or March payrolls reports but if not in February we may well see a full retracement of the EUR/USD rally in November/December, taking spot back down to around the 1.06/1.07 area.
The Dollar sell-off into year-end looked overdone and hence there remains scope for further USD strength, especially on days like Tuesday when we see bigger jumps in yields.
Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.
Hot
No comment on record. Start new comment.