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FxPro汇评:经济走强意味着股票目前走软

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美国经济连续第六个月超过零售额预期,持续令经济学家感到意外。据报道,去年12月的增长幅度为0.6%,而去年11月的增长幅度为0.3%,预期增幅均为0.4%。不包括汽车在内的销量增长了0.4%,高于一个月前的0.2%。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:外汇市场的反应是直接买入美元,因为火热的经济降低了货币政策放宽松的可能性。美联储观察工具(FedWatch Tool)的数据显示,在数据公布后,3月份降息的几率立即降至60%以下,尽管上周晚些时候这一几率超过了80%。

FxPro汇评:经济走强意味着股票目前走软

然而,由于对未来货币政策收紧的预期,好消息对股市来说是坏消息。这一阶段通常不会持续太久,但未来几周很有可能在市场上普遍存在,导致年底股市反弹出现回调。

FxPro汇评:经济走强意味着股票目前走软


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