【基本面】美联储三把手和明年鸽派票委一同打压市场乐观降息预期。三把手威廉姆斯表示我们需要做好进一步收紧政策的准备,如有需要,必须准备再次加息。鸽派的博斯蒂克也只预计明年降息两次,而非12月点阵图显示的三次。整体而论,降息力度恐不及市场预期,故黄金以偏空布局为主要思路。
【技术面】观察日线图,黄金上周五收跌0.82%且收在上周四开盘价下方,隐含短线可能再度震荡走跌。副指标方面,MACD负值柱状体微微递减加上KD双线上弯,这都隐含中期有上涨概率。整体而论,考量基本面因素(美联储鸽派官员有所放鹰),叠加技术面出现反弹信号,故建议投资者以高空布局为主要思路。
#XAU/USD# #gold# #USDollarIndex#
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