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FxPro汇评:英国央行鹰派延续英镑涨势

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目前,美联储的鸽派态度还没有波及到欧洲。英格兰银行将基准利率维持在5.25%不变,9个成员中有3个投票支持加息25个基点。

FxPro高级分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出:英国央行(Bank of England)就这一决定发表评论时强调,目前还不能确定,通过经济中工资的强劲增长和服务价格的上涨,通胀是否会恢复正常。

FxPro汇评:英国央行鹰派延续英镑涨势

美联储几乎总是走在货币政策周期的前沿。因此,在政策开始收紧时,美元兑其他货币往往会上涨,而在政策开始逆转的迹象出现时,美元往往会下跌。英镑兑美元对美联储和英国央行会议的反应生动地说明了这一规律。

美联储放松政策的意愿很快使美元走弱,而进一步加息的意愿则使美元走强。这两个因素在16小时内都朝着同一个方向发挥了作用,结果,英镑兑美元反弹1.7%,超过1.27,迅速回到了两周前的高点。自去年8月以来,该货币对发现自己处于有意义的阻力区。此外,最近的反弹看起来有些牵强,外汇市场可能在年底前进入盘整或修正模式。

FxPro汇评:英国央行鹰派延续英镑涨势


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