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GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAU/USD REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE NEAR $1,900, US DATA EYED

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  • Gold price holds ground above $1,900, remaining under pressure ahead of US economic data.
  • CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 40% probability of a 25 bps rate hike by the Fed in November.
  • Investors await Core PPI and Retail Sales data to gain further cues into the US economic outlook.

Gold price attempted to recover from the recent losses in the Asian session but later extended the losing streak, trading slightly lower near $1,900 per troy ounce during the European session on Thursday. The yellow metal hovers near three-week lows, remaining under pressure possibly due to upbeat Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States (US).

US inflation figure for the year-over-year period rose to 3.7% from the previous rate of 3.2%, surpassing the market's anticipated rate of 3.6% for August. Additionally, the monthly core CPI increased to 0.3% from the previous 0.2% for the same month. This uptick was unexpected, as market expectations had been for it to remain unchanged.

The annual core inflation rate remained stable at 4.3% as expected, which was a decline from the previous figure of 4.7%. The inflation report indicates that overall inflation may be moderating, but the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) remains relatively stable.

Investors seem to accept the odds that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain a dovish stance in its September meeting. The market caution is exerting pressure on the US Dollar (USD).

CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 40% likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate increase by the Fed in November. Investors turn cautious about the possibility of such a move as they assess the evolving economic overview and Fed statements.

US Dollar Index (DXY) is trimming the losses it made earlier in the session, trading around 104.70 at the time of writing. DXY is experiencing upward support on the back of the improved US Treasury yields. The yield on a 10-year US bond improved to 4.25 by the press time.

Market participants await the releases of the Core Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales figures for August from the US. These economic indicators could provide valuable insights into the state of economic activities in the nation and are likely to influence trading decisions and market sentiment, particularly concerning non-yield assets like Gold

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