沙特延长减产期限！美油该如何布局...🤔
【基本面】沙特、俄罗斯两大产油国发力，自愿减产来进一步限制供给，同时消费需求激增，而需求远超预期，7月以来油价已涨了20%，导致原油供需面临严重的赤字，Q4的供应缺口约为每天270万桶。整体而论，虽油市仍处于上行格局，不过考量美汇指数与美债收益率仍位于高位，加上本周将公布重磅CPI数据，投资者风险偏好可能下降，故美油以偏空布局为主要思路。
【技术面】观察美油四小时线图，美油出现三重顶形态(类头肩顶形态)，一般而言这种形态将不利后市上行。不过美油目前仍收在斐波那契假1.13突破位(86.00美元附近)之上，因此下方仍具支撑。此外副指标MACD负值柱状体持续递增，加上KD快线微微下弯并跌破高位区，都暗示了短线有回调机会。整体而论，考量基本面因素(美债收益率与美汇指数维持高位)，叠加技术面出现可能的回调信号，故建议投资者以偏空布局为主要思路。
#USOIL.p# #WTI# #USDollarIndex#
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