AUSTRALIA: ECONOMIC GROWTH SEEN BELOW TREND IN 2023 – UOB
Economist Lee Sue Ann at UOB Group reviews the latest GDP figures in Australia.
Key Takeaways
Australia’s GDP came in at 0.4% q/q in 2Q23, in line with expectations. This marked the seventh consecutive rise in quarterly GDP. From a year earlier, the economy expanded by 2.1% y/y, above expectations of 1.8% y/y.
The latest GDP print remains in line with our view of growth turning softer. We continue to expect growth to be well below trend at 1.6% in 2023 and 1.2% in 2024. As the economy slows, softening labour demand should see the unemployment rate rise back to 3.8% by end-2023 and around 4.5% by end2024.
Today’s GDP data comes a day after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate target steady at 4.10% for the third consecutive time. Our view remains for the RBA to keep policy unchanged at the next meeting on 3 Oct.
Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author or guest. It does not represent any views or positions of FOLLOWME and does not mean that FOLLOWME agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the FOLLOWME community, the community does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.
FOLLOWME Trading Community Website: https://www.followme.com
Hot
No comment on record. Start new comment.