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FXBTG讯 一份“利好美元”的重磅预告出炉! 6月非农就业人数将增加20.5万人,失业率为3.6%,支持美联储保持“鹰派”

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美元指数报103.34,美联储FOMC会议纪要支持恢复加息,为鹰派买盘奠定基础。金价跌至 1,916 美元,分析师警告金价将进一步回调至 1,893 美元的波动低点。展望6月非农就业报告,晨星援引FactSet数据显示,市场一致预测就业人数将增加20.5万人,失业率为3.6%,较5月有所下降,持续走低。支持美联储维持鹰派立场。


美联储6月FOMC会议纪要显示,上个月几乎所有官员都同意按兵不动,大多数人预计未来会进一步加息。这种观点推高了美债收益率,刺激美元走强。根据CME的Fed Watch工具显示,美联储7月会议后加息25个基点的概率达到88.7%。


LPL Financial 首席经济学家杰弗里·罗奇 (Jeffrey Roach) 表示,美联储可能在上个月暂停加息后,在 7 月份恢复加息,除非出现意外。市场将关注周五的非农就业报告,寻找劳动力市场疲软的迹象。他指出,会议纪要显示,美国实际就业增长可能低于报告中报告的水平。

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