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 新的一周,我先说一下整体情况。  美指是属于最后一跌,只欠东风就会开启反转。对于黄金,从1615一路上涨,已经到达1920位置。其实这一波上涨已经快要见顶!上涨的主要逻辑是加息末端和经济衰退预期,当市场发现  美国的衰退并没有想象中来的那么快,或者说美国经济的复苏(GDP)比想象中好   那么黄金就会计价多余的这波避险价格,现在只是市场情绪带动的继续上涨,随时可以结束!轻仓中线空可以继续持有。

对于美日:周三有日本央行会议,市场大力押注日本继续上调国债收益率到百分之1,但是日本的真实情况是顶不住的,之前我有说日本国债是有多么的脆弱。类似于英国央行的加息(英国有可能会是最先开始降息的国家)。那么美日是有可能拉出一个深度v底,轻仓中线多,可以等到周三会议看情况加仓

基本面逻辑就是这样,配合背离   随时结束。日内短多也注意风险

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