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采取宽松货币政策的国家宁愿本国货币贬值,或根本无法承受失去外汇储备来应对贬值。目前,投资者认为美联储将提前宣布加息,因此,购买美元/较弱货币更为有利。 美联储的平均通胀目标 2% 已实现,并可能会维持这一水平。
美联储可能会在 12 月宣布取消刺激政策,但美联储主席鲍威尔可能会在杰克逊霍尔(Jackson Hole)的演讲中为市场吹风,随后在 9 月的 FOMC 会议上正式宣布政策变化。
预计美联储将于 9 月宣布削减资产购买计划。美国的就业报告数据强劲:7 月份失业率突然大幅降至 5.4%,一些美联储官员认为,监管机构可能会提前开始削减每月 1200 亿美元的国债和按揭证券的购买量。


 
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