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恐怖情緒上升

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隔夜黄金先跌后涨,基本收复日内失地,短线涨幅超20美元,人岌岌可危的黄金暂获喘息。美国债务上限逼近,市场恐慌情绪开始走高,也推动金价绝地反击。周一(7月19日)CNN恐慌与贪婪指数达到了19,表明市场处于极度恐慌状态,在恐慌状态下市场更加青睐避险资产,毫无疑问黄金短期再次成为市场入手对象。随着美国债务上限的临近,市场的情绪开始紧绷,虽然美国最终会提高债务上限解决当前困境,但毫无疑问这会继续推高通胀,以及美债接盘问题,在充满不确定性的情况下,市场明显变得更加谨慎。

技术面:黄金日线收带长下影阴线,但反弹力度称不上强劲。1小时周期形成下跌五浪的概率较大,日内大概率还有一跌。

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