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英镑兑日元在大涨中见次高

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英镑兑日元自从6月29日见低点131.939以来,已经连续8个交易日收阳,一路上坡的K线组合,顶分型死在摇篮之中,刚出现就被扼杀。尤其是最近连续一周的小阳线,波动率收缩下,急需一根大阳或大阴突破来打开新的局面。

之前以136.338—131.938的波段高低点来取盈亏比例,但是价格上冲到75%的位置135.238后并没有快速大跌破低点来结束反弹,而是再次突破135.238,于是盈亏比例计算取点需要重新迭代成131.939—139.725。50%的多空分水岭也就上移到了135.832,25%与75%的位置分别在137.78与133.88。在保持现有趋势的情况下平多做空可以再度提高到135.8之上进行。

英镑兑日元在大涨中见次高

4小时周期观察细节,132.931—133.685—134.009—134.563波段低点以400—600点的价差相对匀速抬高,改变131.939以来的上升趋势取决于是否对波段低点134.563进行破位。K线性质上收大阴或连续两连阴见底,也提高了做多的参考。134.563与134.655虽有重叠,但是交叉价差不足0.1,不排除134.563展开了134.009向上的第3浪运动,这样将促使134.563的涨幅可能要大于134.009—135.398。

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