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老黑策略:2.5晚盘原油分析策略

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【原油】(美油)
日内美油震荡回弹,测压至51上方,整体表现有再度回弹的可能性,且日线结构上的底背离超卖信号也支持美油回弹,只不过目前上方5日线依然有压制作用,行情在此压附近如有徘徊,那么表明多头信心依然是不足的,短线的回弹只能视作为超跌反弹而已,还不足以改变为波段级别回弹的趋势。
晚间继续关注5日线附近50.8-51短压带测试,如能站稳51上方,则短线有望进一步测试52至10日线51.4/5附近压力。从日内小时图走势节奏来看,短线延续回弹有可能,但依然表现出动能不足、信心缺乏的状态所以对于反弹不要抱有太强烈的预期。且50关键支撑昨日、今日均有刺破,这也会给短线市场情绪带来一定的负面影响,行情整体上涨难度还是非常大的。
操作上,晚间稳健依旧选择观望为宜,关注51压力,下方关注50附近支撑。如激进者参与,可参考50.3/2、50附近轻仓多,统一带止损49.7,目标看50.8-51即减仓改保本止损,剩余持单再看51.5、52近压力测试。

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