USD holds position, RBNZ holds the rate.

14/11/2019

美元持稳，新西兰联储出人意料维持利率不变

美元指数持稳，最高触及9802， 现保持高位稳定。美联储主席鲍威尔发表积极的经济言论支撑美元。

黄金结束5日连续下跌，昨日实现增长，自低位1450反弹，目前保持在1460上方震荡，受贸易谈判消息刺激，避险货币日元，瑞郎也同步走强。

昨日新西兰联储出人意料维持1.00%基准利率不变，纽币录得9个月来最大单日涨幅，兑美元涨近1.3%，新西兰联储称目前货币政策对经济刺激作用表现良好，如有需要将会进一步降息，但目前并不急迫，今日稍早表示有可能尽快于明年2月再次降息。

英镑兑美元，现交于1.2845，昨日横盘震荡。市场关注12月的英国大选结果给英国脱欧指明方向，目前民调显示保守党占有部分优势，但关键在于其能否获得议会多数席位抑或是组建悬浮议会。英镑自1.20历史地位反弹，市场表示仍有上升空间，若英国顺利完成协议脱欧，英镑将有进一步上涨空间，看向1.35及1.40。

欧元兑美元，现交于1.1005，昨日保持地位震荡，关注1.10的支撑，下行风险1.095，1.088。今日有德国10月GDP数据发布。

纽币对美元，现交于0.6405，短期保持上涨趋势，上方阻力位0.643, 0.645以及0.650。下方支撑位0.6375。

澳元兑美元，现交于0.681，今日稍早澳洲发布10月就业报告，失业率上升，就业岗位降低，澳元应声下跌，关注0.681-0.679的支撑作用，下行风险看向0.675。

USD holds position, RBNZ holds the rate.

USD basket holds position, reached high 9802. Fed Chairman Powell’s positive speak about the US economy supports the USD.

Gold ends the 5^th days straight downtrend. Now it is trading above 1460. and JYP and CHF gain at the same time.

RBNZ holds the rate. NZD gains 1.3% against USD, maximum one-day growth in 9 months. RBNZ says the current rate level is supporting the economy well, and wouldn’t zone out the further rate cut. Another rate cut could be possible as soon as in February 2020.

GBP/USD, trading at 1.2845. Market eyes on the election in December. Poll shows the Conservatives has the advantage against Labours. Should the Conservatives win the majority, and UK leaves with a deal successfully, pounds would go above 1.30, towards 1.35 and 1.40.

EUR/USD, trading at 1.1005, bearish. Downside risk 1.095,1.088. Oct Germany GDP date later today.

NZD/USD, trading at 0.6405, bullish, resistance at 0.643, 0.645 and 0.650. support at 0.6375.

AUD/USD, trading at 0.681, dropping on today’s Oct Employment report shows higher unemployment rate and cut in the employments. Eyes on support range 0.681-0.679. Downside risk to 0.675.