Note

U.S. GDP beat expectations and supported the dolla

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U.S. GDP expanded at a 2.1% annualised pace in Q2, which exceeded the estimates of 1.8%. The Dollar Index climbed 0.22% higher to the 97.74. Gold prices edged 0.25% higher to 1418.32 and recovered a part of the previous session's sharp intraday slide to over one-week lows. The U.S. benchmarks on Friday ended higher, S&P 500 and DOW 30 figures rose 0.22% to 27161.24 and 0.53% to 3021.62 respectively.

GBPUSD dropped 0.50% and published a low of 1.2382 as Brexit continues to weigh on the Pound's outlook. The EURUSD dropped 0.18% from 1.1146 to 1.1126 on dovish ECB expectations.

The WTI price rose 0.41% to 56.01. The BRENT price increased 0.25% to 63.39. Because the UK increased the number of troops to Bahrain to protect its oil ships in the Gulf after Iran’s seizure of the UK ship extends into the second week. And the Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Counts slip for the fourth consecutive week to 776 which is the lowest since February 2017.

The top US negotiators have been confirmed to meet their Chinese counterparts and resume in-person trade talks on July 30-August 1, which shown modest expectations from the US-China trade negotiations.

With Friday’s key US macro data out of the way, the focus now shifts to this week's key central bank meetings - starting with the BoJ policy update on Tuesday and the highly anticipated Fed decision on Wednesday.

It a big week for markets this week:

US: FOMC Rate Decision (31 July), Top-Tier US data (1, 2 Aug) - ISM Manufacturing (Jul) and Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul).

Canada: Industry-level GDP (31 July)

UK: Bank of England Rate Decision (1 Aug)

Eurozone: July Inflation (31 Jul), HICP (y/y), Core CPI (y/y), Europe (30-31 Jul) Q2 GDP

Australia: Q2 CPI Headline (q/q, y/y) (31 Jul), Trimmed (q/q, y/y) (2 Aug), Retail Sales (Jun/Q2), Retail Sales (m/m), Real Retail (Q2, q/q)

China: July PMIs (31 Jul, 1 Aug)

Daily movement

Asset

Open

Close

High

Low

change%

USDX

97.5300

97.7400

97.8200

97.4900

0.22%

EURUSD

1.1146

1.1126

1.1151

1.1112

-0.18%

GBPUSD

1.2444

1.2382

1.2459

1.2376

-0.50%

USDJPY

108.6300

108.6700

108.8250

108.5570

0.04%

AUDUSD

0.6951

0.6910

0.6955

0.6902

-0.58%

USDCAD

1.3158

1.3165

1.3198

1.3154

0.05%

NZDUSD

0.6660

0.6633

0.6663

0.6625

-0.40%

USDCNH

6.8732

6.8816

6.8832

6.8731

0.12%

GOLD

1414.1700

1418.3200

1424.7800

1413.4900

0.29%

WTI

55.7800

56.0100

56.4100

55.5400

0.41%

BRENT

63.2300

63.3900

64.0600

63.1400

0.25%

DOW 30

27102.3500

27161.2400

27213.3100

27091.4000

0.22%

S&P 500

3005.7300

3021.6200

3027.9300

3004.6100

0.53%

 

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