6.16浅谈黄金原油后市走向
本周美债收益率四连跌，且中东地缘局势进一步恶化，市场避险需求上升，再加上由于市场预期美联储今年将至少降息两次，现货黄金一度逼近1360关口，刷新自2018年4月13日来高位。随后因乐观的美国零售销售增长一定程度上缓解了对第二季度经济放缓的担忧，美元大幅走高，导致金价回落。
黄金过快的涨势使得黄金短时间存在回调的需要。但美联储将在6月份举行利率决议，可能标志着加息周期的结束和降息周期的开始，这对黄金来说是利好的。所以黄金从大方向来说依然还是看涨的。操作上建议低多为主。
本周因有消息称两艘油轮在阿曼湾遇袭，加剧了市场对于地缘局势所引发的供应中断的担忧情绪。沙特方面或强化减产的力度，来稳定市场对于供需失衡的担忧，这或将对油价构成一定的支撑。技术上来看，行情有两次下探51一线快速回收，有一定的企稳的迹象，操作上建议谨慎看空，短期建议看多，如果行情再次创出新低再跟进看空不迟。
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