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美联储昨日宣布维持利率在 3.5%-3.75% 区间不变,市场对于年内降息的预期基本消散,加息预期升温,进而支撑美元走强,对金价形成明显压力。若今年不降息甚至加息,黄金短期将承压,因高利率提升美元吸引力,且持有黄金无利息优势,易导致资金流出。不过,各国央行持续购金、地缘政治风险及经济下行担忧仍将提供支撑,整体大概率呈现震荡偏弱、区间波动格局,难有单边大涨行情。

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