🔥原油高开低走,震荡仍是基本情景🔥
受美伊可能重启对话的影响,原油周一高开后压力显著。SpotBrent 从盘中高点最大回撤 5.9%,重新测试$100关口。如果失守,下看$96.7和$93.2 附近;相反,周一高点 $106.1和更上方的$115 可能构成阻力。
SpotCrude上看 $102.1,下看$93。
尽管谈判信号出现限制了最坏情景(冲突大规模升级)的实现路径,但即便局势迅速缓和,原油供应恢复仍需时间。
当前原油驱动因素已从“事件冲击”转向“谈判预期拉扯”。核心矛盾变成为协议预期 vs 实体流量受限。油价短期有更大可能高位震荡,而非呈现单边走势。
*交易涵盖风险
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