Unusual Positioning in Crude Oil: 23 March, 2026 A notable spike in USOIL volume was observed around 4:20, with ~3,000 contracts traded (≈$580M notional value), marking the highest activity of the day (before the announcement). This occurred minutes before Donald Trump announced a pause on planned military strikes at ~4:35, followed by a sharp market reaction. Key takeaway: * Abnormal volume preceding a major geopolitical event * The Bet: Traders placed a staggering $580 million bet across oil markets. Millions of dollars pocketed by someone (or a group) within minutes, probably based on insider information Yes, someone knew Trump going to announce ceasefire in advance.