Gold (XAUUSD) Price ...from Shanu

Gold (XAUUSD) Price Forecast: Eyes $4,041 Target: Gold posted its biggest one-day drop since October 21 down 4.37% to $4,335 on Monday mirroring a past pattern that led to a $495 decline over 6 days. Subtracting that from Friday's high of $4,537 points to a swing target of $4,041 by January 6, below the 50-day moving average at $4,172. This sharp selloff likely stems from year-end profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing, and traders booking gains before 2025 ends. The recent rally from October's $4,381 top gained just $155, far less than Monday's loss, trapping breakout buyers. Old tops often become new bottoms, and strong sellers could squeeze weak longs toward the 50% retracement at $4,212 or $4,172 first. Technicals show bearish momentum after failing key levels like $4,381 and $4,350, with no reversal top yet. Fundamentals remain bullish long-term, but expect volatility from margin calls and "trapped traders turning into investors." Watch for a plunge to $4,041 if selling persists or a bounce if support holds. #MEGAFUSION安汇# #COPYTRADE# #FX#

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Fed Rate Cuts Coming: Economic Weakness Forces Policy Shift: The Federal Reserve is heading toward deeper rate cuts in 2026 as the U.S. economy shows clear signs of deterioration. Recent employment data reveals a troubling pattern: unemployment has risen from 4.4% to 4.6%, while underemployment jumped to 8.7%. Job growth remains concentrated in defensive sectors like healthcare and education, while cyclical industries that drive economic expansion show minimal gains. This isn't a supply shortage problem it's weakening demand. Fewer people are quitting their jobs, wage growth is cooling, and both workers and businesses are becoming more pessimistic. The labor market hasn't collapsed, but it's effectively stalled with no signs of acceleration. With the Fed's own unemployment projection at 4.5% for 2025, any further deterioration would justify more aggressive easing than markets currently expect. The Fed's December 2025 meeting highlighted internal divisions that signal more cuts ahead. While the committee delivered a 25 basis point cut to 3.5%-3.75%, Governor Stephen Miran pushed for a larger 50 basis point reduction, and two regional presidents voted against any cut at all. The central bank's "dot plot" projections show only one additional rate cut planned for 2026, but this assumes stronger growth and lower unemployment an optimistic scenario that current data doesn't support. Policy remains restrictive despite approaching the "neutral" range, as evidenced by continued pressure on interest-sensitive sectors like housing and the ongoing labor market softening. The next Fed chair, likely Kevin Hassett or Kevin Warsh, will inherit an economy requiring more accommodation than currently planned, regardless of political considerations. #MEGAFUSION安汇# #COPYTRADE# #FX#

Shanu

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Shanu

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