High-Impact Data Tod...from Irie

19 Nov 2025, 19:24 · Views 304

High-Impact Data Today (CET): 8:00 AM – UK CPI Softer inflation → GBP may stay weak. Watch: GBPUSD, EURGBP, GBPJPY. Trade after 10–15 mins to avoid whipsaws. 12:00 PM – Eurozone CPI Slight cooling → EUR likely muted. Watch: EURUSD, EURGBP, EURJPY. 3:30 PM – US Data Cluster Big volatility window. Strong data boosts USD, weak data helps gold/risk. Watch: USDJPY, EURUSD, XAUUSD, DXY. Takeaway: GBP at 8:00, EUR at 12:00, USD at 15:30 — plan trades around these windows.

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Irie

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📊 High-Impact U.S. Data to Watch Today 1. 7:00 PM IST – Main Event (Data Cluster) Core PPI: 0.2% PPI: 0.3% Retail Sales: 0.4% Core Retail Sales: 0.3% Retail Control: 0.3% Impact: Strong Sales + Strong PPI → USD ↑, Gold ↓, USTEC/US30 ↓ (rate cut hopes fade). Weak Readings → USD ↓, Gold ↑, Indices ↑. 2. 8:30 PM IST – Consumer Confidence Forecast: 93.5 (Prev: 94.6) Lower confidence may extend USD weakness after initial reaction. 3. Best Instruments to Trade FX: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY Commodities: XAUUSD (Gold) Indices: USTEC, US30 ✅ Summary The 7 PM PPI + Retail Sales combo is the key driver — second only to NFP in impact. Expect sharp moves across USD, Gold, and indices. Trade the reaction, not the release. #US# #Fed# #KeyData#

Irie

Oil prices climb over 1% after OPEC+ reaffirms pause; supply risks in focus Oil prices rose more than 1% in Asian trading on Monday, supported by OPEC+’s reaffirmation to hold output steady during the first quarter, and by renewed supply concerns stemming from geopolitical tensions. As of 20:52 ET (01:52 GMT), Brent Oil Futures expiring in February rose 1.2% to $63.13 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also jumped 1.2% to $59.27 per barrel. #CrudeOil# #OPEC#

Irie

Trump rejected Maduro requests on call, options narrow for Venezuela leader, sources say Maduro is running out of options to secure U.S.-backed safe passage to step down. A November 21 call with Trump ended with the U.S. rejecting his requests. The call followed months of rising U.S. pressure, including military actions and terrorism designations. Maduro denies criminal accusations, claiming the U.S. seeks regime change for Venezuela’s resources. He offered to leave if granted full legal amnesty, removal of sanctions, and closure of his ICC case. He also requested sanctions relief for 100+ Venezuelan officials. Maduro asked that VP Delcy Rodriguez lead an interim government before elections.

Irie

Massive Bitcoin ETF Outflows Shake the Market — But a Comeback Begins Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.2B in outflows this week, one of the worst since launch. Thursday alone saw $900M withdrawn, the second-biggest daily outflow ever. This happened during Bitcoin’s six-week price drop, briefly touching $81,000 — down about 33% from October’s $126K high. Outflows increased as investors reacted to: Lower chances of a 3rd Fed rate cut in 2025 Worries about overvalued AI stocks Reduced appetite for risk assets BlackRock’s IBIT faced the hardest hit with over $1B outflows, followed by GBTC and FBTC. Friday reversed the mood — ETFs saw new inflows, including: Fidelity’s FBTC: +$108M Grayscale’s mini trust and GBTC also gained fresh investments. Analysts like Eric Balchunas stay positive, saying Bitcoin often rebounds stronger, calling it “like hot sauce” — volatile but powerful long term. #Bitcoin# #cryptocurrency#

Irie

NFP / U.S. Labor Market Update The report for September 2025 is due today (published by Bureau of Labor Statistics, delayed because of the U.S. government shutdown). The prior monthly reading (August) was +22,000 jobs — well below consensus ~75,000. Markets are cautious ahead of today’s print: the U.S. dollar index (USD X) has been strengthening, suggesting expectations are for a moderate outcome. The Importance: Stronger-than-expected jobs growth tends to bolster the USD (thus possibly weigh on gold). Conversely, a weak print could revive dovish expectations for Federal Reserve policy, boosting gold. Key Takeaway: With labor gains having been weak, a surprise upside could shift sentiment toward tighter or delayed Fed ease. A weak number may keep alive hopes of rate cuts/support for gold. #NFP #USgovt #USDollar##UnemploymentRate#

Irie