USD/JPY Slips Below ...from Sagaah Elite Management

28 Oct 2025, 13:28 · Views 669

USD/JPY Slips Below 152.50 as Japan Talks Tough USD/JPY remains under pressure in Tuesday’s Asian session, trading below the key 152.50 level. The Japanese Yen gains strength amid Japan’s verbal intervention and rising hopes for a fair trade deal with the US. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles as optimism around US-China relations adds further weight to the pair. 📌 Key Drivers: Japan’s jawboning boosts Yen sentiment Trade deal optimism dampens USD demand Technical resistance at 152.50 holds firm Traders are watching for further signals from policymakers and any shifts in trade negotiations that could sway the pair’s direction.

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🔴Political and Economic Pressures Weigh on Dollar Ahead of Jobs Data The U.S. dollar opened Tuesday trading on a mixed note, as global monetary policy signals and domestic political uncertainty continue to shape investor sentiment. Global Policy Drivers Other Central Banks: Policy shifts in Europe and Switzerland also added to volatility, reinforcing the view that global monetary cycles remain uneven and dependent on local inflation/labor dynamics. U.S. Political Headwinds Shutdown risks: Ongoing gridlock over federal funding deadlines continues to undermine confidence, creating an added layer of uncertainty for the dollar. Fed stance: Despite elevated inflation readings, policymakers remain cautious about overtightening given signs of labor market softening. Goldman Sachs: Jobs Data Could Resolve Disconnect Between Stocks and Bonds.Goldman Sachs highlighted the unusual divergence between U.S. equity and bond markets ahead of this week’s key labor releases. Equity markets: Pricing in a “soft landing” narrative, expecting the Fed to cut rates without derailing growth. Investors are also betting on reacceleration by 2026, aided by fiscal support. Bond markets: Taking a more cautious stance, focusing on downside risks from weakening employment and the possibility that growth momentum is already stalling. Goldman argued that the upcoming U.S. jobs report could act as the decisive catalyst to resolve this split, either reinforcing equity optimism or validating bond investors’ caution. 📌 Bottom Line: The U.S. dollar remains caught between political risk, central bank divergence, and incoming labor data. Markets will be highly sensitive to September’s employment figures, which could tip sentiment across currencies, equities, and Treasurys alike.

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Gold Rebounds to $4,000 as Risk-Off Sentiment Returns Gold prices regained traction in Monday’s Asian session, climbing back toward the $4,000 mark as investors shifted back into safe-haven assets. Several macro factors are driving this renewed demand: 🔹 US Government Shutdown Concerns Prolonged uncertainty around the US government shutdown is weighing on market sentiment, prompting a flight to safety. 🔹 Trump’s Latest Comments Remarks from President Trump have added to geopolitical unease, reinforcing the risk-off mood across global markets. 🔹 Weak Chinese PMI Data China’s private Manufacturing PMI came in softer than expected, raising fresh concerns about global growth and fueling demand for defensive assets like gold. 📈 Technically, gold’s bounce near $4,000 could signal a short-term support zone, but traders will be watching for confirmation and follow-through in upcoming sessions. 💡 For market participants, this shift underscores the importance of staying nimble and responsive to macro headlines.

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