📊 DXY – U.S. Dollar...from Sana Shaikh

📊 DXY – U.S. Dollar Index Technical Outlook 🔹 Market Structure Short-term: DXY is recovering from the recent low 97.70 → 98.20. Bigger picture: The structure is still bearish: Lower highs remain intact. Major downtrend is not broken. The rising trendline support is holding for now, but if it breaks, price could retest the previous lows. 🔹 Key Supply – Demand Zones Supply Zone (98.45 – 98.55): Previous resistance where sellers were aggressive. If price reaches this zone, fresh selling pressure is likely. Demand Zone (97.90 – 98.00): Strong buyers previously defended this area. A break below it would confirm continuation of the broader bearish trend. 🔹 Implications for Forex & Gold When DXY rises → USD strengthens → Gold (XAUUSD) usually weakens. When DXY falls → USD weakens → Gold tends to rally. ✅ Possible Scenarios: Rejection at Supply Zone (98.45 – 98.55): USD weakens → Gold may rally upward. Breakout above 98.55 and sustain: USD strength extends → Gold could drop further. ⚖️ In short: Watch the 98.45–98.55 zone on DXY for direction. Gold’s next big move will likely align with how price reacts here.

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🔸 GOLD HOLDS TIGHT RANGE – EYES ON RESISTANCE BREAK 🔄 Liquidity & Order Flow Major Liquidity Pool: 🔹 3,383 zone – Building dense liquidity, likely to be swept to trigger stop-losses above prior highs. Flow Bias: Currently favors buyers, but confirmation needed via breakout candle above the descending trendline to initiate directional momentum. 🔸 Key Supply Zone 3,383 – 3,384 Near prior swing high – institutional interest likely. Watch for liquidity trap → potential false breakout before sell-side pressure resumes. 🔹 Key Demand Zones 3,340 – 3,345 (Short-Term Support) Backed by Fair Value Gap (FVG). Sell-off absorption seen; crucial for near-term buyers. Breakdown may lead to deeper correction. 3,292 – 3,293 (Structural Demand) Strong historical demand zone. Deep liquidity aligns here. Acts as final line of defense for current bullish structure. 📌 Technical Outlook Price consolidating inside a transitional zone → awaiting breakout for next move. 🔼 Bullish Bias: Break & close above descending trendline (preferably on H4 candle) Targets: 3,384 → 3,395+ 🔽 Bearish Bias: Rejection from 3,383–3,384 supply (e.g., pin bar / bearish engulfing) Retest lower zones: 3,345, then 3,293 🎯 Focus for Trade Management: Watch zones: Supply: 3,383–3,384 Demand: 3,340–3,345 and 3,292–3,293

Sana Shaikh

USD:- Core PPI m/m ACTUAL = 0.0% FORECAST = 0.2% PREVIOUS = 0.1% NEGATIVE FOR USD AND POSITIVE FOR GOLD USD:- PPI m/m ACTUAL = 0.0% FORECAST = 0.2% PREVIOUS = 0.1% NEGATIVE FOR USD AND POSITIVE FOR GOLD

Sana Shaikh

( DXY - U.S. Dollar Index ) ——— Market Structure Main trend: Short-term downtrend. - After being strongly rejected at the Supply Zone 98.50 – 98.60, DXY continues to form lower highs. - Currently, price is sitting near the short-term bottom area and may retrace before continuing lower. ——— Key Supply – Demand Zones - Supply Zone: 98.50 – 98.60 (strong resistance, already retested with strong selling reaction). - Intermediate Price Range: 97.93 – 98.15 (nearest resistance area where selling pressure may return if price retraces). - Demand Zone: 97.58 – 97.60 (potential support if price continues to drop). ——— Implications for Forex & Gold - If DXY drops: USD weakens → Gold (XAUUSD) and pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD tend to rise. - If DXY breaks above 98.60: USD strengthens → Gold and USD pairs may face downward pressure.

Sana Shaikh