( DXY - U.S. Dollar ...from Sana Shaikh

( DXY - U.S. Dollar Index ) ——— Market Structure Main trend: Short-term downtrend. - After being strongly rejected at the Supply Zone 98.50 – 98.60, DXY continues to form lower highs. - Currently, price is sitting near the short-term bottom area and may retrace before continuing lower. ——— Key Supply – Demand Zones - Supply Zone: 98.50 – 98.60 (strong resistance, already retested with strong selling reaction). - Intermediate Price Range: 97.93 – 98.15 (nearest resistance area where selling pressure may return if price retraces). - Demand Zone: 97.58 – 97.60 (potential support if price continues to drop). ——— Implications for Forex & Gold - If DXY drops: USD weakens → Gold (XAUUSD) and pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD tend to rise. - If DXY breaks above 98.60: USD strengthens → Gold and USD pairs may face downward pressure.

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📊 #GOLD MARKET STRUCTURE – Daily Outlook Overall Trend: After a sharp decline, Gold has formed a base around Liquidity Zone 3,337 – 3,340 and is showing signs of recovery. Price action is holding above short-term support, maintaining a bullish structure with potential to push toward higher targets. 🔹 Key Supply – Demand Zones Main Demand Zone (Liquidity Zone): 3,337 – 3,340 → Strong support / potential buy area Short-Term Support: 3,356 – 3,358 Resistance / Targets: 🎯 TP1: 3,381.745 🎯 TP2: 3,392.914 📈 Trading Scenarios for Today Primary Scenario – Buy on Retest of Support Entry Zone: 3,340 – 3,334 Confirmation Needed: Bullish reversal patterns (Pinbar, Engulfing) or rising volume signals Alternative Scenario – Buy on Breakout Continuation Entry Trigger: Break above 3,366 with an H1 candle close + strong bullish momentum Targets: TP1 → 3,381.745 | TP2 → 3,392.914 ⚠️ Trade Management Notes Only enter after clear confirmation If DXY shows strong upside reversal → reduce position size / avoid entry Take partial profits at TP1 to lock in gains, let remainder run toward TP2 Bullish Bias Invalidation: Price closes below 3,330 → Avoid buying and reassess

Sana Shaikh

XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Fundamental: Gold rose to $3,454/oz, close to April’s record high, marking a second weekly gain as Fed rate-cut expectations strengthened. Gold is edging closer to key ascending triangle resistance, signaling a potential breakout ahead. A sustained move above $3,480 could pave the way for a new record high. Currently near $3,448, holding above $3,455 may trigger targets at $3,465, $3,480, and $3,500. XAU/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold Technical Structure: Strong Bullish Candle on Monthly, Strong Bullish Candle on Daily, Trading Above 20SMA on Daily, Three White Soldiers on 4H, Bullish Inside Bar on 1H Weekly Trend: Extremely Bullish Intraday Trend/ Intraday Strategy: Bullish / Buy on Dips, Buy on Breakout Major Support: 3440, 3430, 3420 Major Resistance: 3455, 3465, 3480 .

Sana Shaikh

📊 XAUUSD Macro Overview Federal Reserve: Cut rates by 25bps to a range of 4.00–4.25%, weakening the USD and reinforcing gold’s role as a hedge against currency depreciation. Global Central Banks: ECB, BoJ, and RBI signaling further easing → synchronized global liquidity cycle, historically bullish for gold and hard assets. Energy Prices : Rising (coal, fuel), raising inflation concerns → boosting gold’s demand as an inflation hedge. Capital Flows : Outflows from emerging markets highlight risk aversion → reallocations into safe-haven assets like gold. 📈 Market Sentiment Safe-haven demand elevated amid trade disputes & geopolitical risks. Short-term volatility in FX and equities likely to drive additional gold inflows. 🔮 Outlook Lower yields + weaker USD = favorable conditions for gold. Inflationary pressures & geopolitics = sustainable medium-term support. Professional positioning: Gold expected to stay well-bid above key technical levels, with dips attracting buyers. 📌 Key Takeaway: The macro backdrop strongly favors gold. Maintain a long bias, but manage risk carefully amid near-term USD and equity volatility.

Sana Shaikh