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上周黄金市场在贸易紧张情绪和地缘冲突的推动下延续涨势,黄金价格一度突破3438美元,但随后因多头动能衰竭和高位获利了结,周内涨幅收窄至约3.1%。特朗普关税的言论、贸易谈判的不确定性、俄乌冲突及印度与巴基斯坦的军事对峙,共同刺激了市场避险需求,推动金价上涨。与此同时,美元指数下跌0.3%以及美联储官员对通胀和经济增长的担忧,进一步为黄金提供了支撑。然而,贺博生个人认为,短期内金价可能因美元走强获利了结及美联储降息预期降温而呈现震荡格局。然而,从中长期看,全球经济治理体系的深度调整凸显了黄金的战略价值,国际金价仍有刷新历史新高的潜力。

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