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- 央行决议:下周是央行周,英美两大央行将公布决议,英央行预期继续降息,但影响力度有限。而美联储决议重磅来袭,预期按兵不动,重点关注鲍威尔讲话,其对经济衰退、特朗普施压和就业强劲等问题的态度,可能会冲击金融市场,进而影响黄金价格。 - 经济数据:周一即将公布的ISM服务业PMI数据以及周四的初请失业金数据,将为市场评估美国经济健康状况提供重要指引,若数据不佳,可能会增强市场对美联储降息的预期,从而利好黄金。 - 地缘政治及贸易局势:印巴方向局势持续升温,若进一步恶化,可能会引发市场的避险情绪,推动金价上涨。贸易谈判进展依旧是关键变量,若谈判陷入僵局,市场避险需求可能大幅推升金价;反之,若取得突破性进展,金价将面临下行压力。

Edited 04 May 2025, 18:42

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