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上半年总体思路还是非美跌,黄金存在一个高位震荡,尤其欧美上半年有再次触及1.0的可能,主要原因还是各国央行顶不住压力,会优先降息,等美国真正开始降息的时候,非美开始大趋势上涨,瑞元就是个例子,如果说非要影响黄金,那就是高位震荡,非美开始涨的时候,黄金再一轮多头。

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