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目前市场预期将保持利率不变,而对金价产生一波打压回落行情,之后重点关注鲍威尔讲话,是否会增强6月降息概率。来判断金价是延续进一步回落,还是继续触底回升收线。不过,鲍威尔或将继续言论不急于降息,而打压金价回落走低,并使其承压到5月份而再度转强,并在6月份又一次刷新历史高点,随后则再度遇阻回落调整。反之,鹰派言论不强,或是市场反应不大,则继续维持震荡走盘,等待再度攀升。 周二,国际黄金市场不温不火,整体维持小幅震荡,这和预期的区间震荡基本一致,上方高点承压在2163一线,下方支撑还是2146一线,目前还是围绕此区间震荡运行,从昨日收线来看,市场有望出现探底回升,虽然多空都有机会,但空单尽量不要追低,避免误伤!上方阻力2162、2166、2172,支撑2150、2146,预计日盘反弹2166下空一次,下看2160、2155、2150,本周接下来唯一能对市场走势影响较大的在周四凌晨数据,对于走势预期短期看好冲高回落修正为主,能否跌破2145仅仅是影响短期修正幅度,但不会改变大趋势走向。

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