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欧元兑日元在经历了跌破 6 月份确立的看涨通道的一段疲软期后再次上扬。其反弹的主要原因是该货币对屡次未能突破 200 日简单移动均线 (SMA)。 如果买盘压力持续存在,价格可能会重探 1 月份的高点 161.85。若突破该区域,则可能为触及 15 年高点 164.28 铺平道路。如果不能突破该区域,该货币对可能会冲高至新的多年高点,而 2007 年 10 月的高点 167.72 可能会抑制任何上行尝试。 另一方面,如果价格反转走低,短期支撑可能在此前的阻力位159.75,这是上升通道的下边界所在。之后汇价可能进一步回落至157.93,该位在最近数月充当阻力位和支撑位。下一个支撑在10-12月支撑154.34。 简而言之,欧元/日元设法暂停短期抛售,200日SMA提供支撑并回升至一目均衡图上方。因此技术前景依然乐观,只要价格企稳于中期看涨形态内。

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