我去，，今天瞄了眼美日快148了，磅日186.。。突然有点感谢exness收日元系巨额隔夜费了，强行劝退不让亏钱。。不过讲道理如果日元套利成本不贵也不会有巨额隔夜费，那美日空头大概率是穷追猛打多头。by the way,付鹏说过美日进场的两个指标，一个是美日10年期利差，越小美日套利空间越小越容易跌， 一个是10年期美债和3月期美债的利差100-150BP之间，150BP超跌100BP是最佳空美日的点位，现在是132BP，141的时候利差到了166BP，市场对利好计提过头了，回调也正常，不过确实没想到能反弹这么高，通杀局。下次进场准备老美降息实质释放出来，或者美债长短期利差缩小及10年期美债收益率到4.4附近再动手了。
Edited 17 Jan 2024, 14:48
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