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昨日美盘阶段,黄金回踩1984不破后一路下挫,最低跌至1977附近,日线上几乎收出一条大阴线,这增加了金价近段时间的看跌技术面前景。但只要黄金能守在1970之上,金价仍有望继续保持在1970-1990-2009的区间内震荡,直到新的节奏出现。 ①1984附近是美盘阶段金价回踩的点位,这里将构成一个阻力位,亚盘可以参考,这一位置不破的话,黄金还是有重新下探1970附近的风险。但只要下方1970没有完全失守,进一步下行的空间依然有限。届时若有止跌信号,可以再考虑是否布局多单。重要阻力位还是在1990。 ②如果金价反弹突破1990,则有向上测试2000关口的可能,但要企稳2000大关上方,甚至是突破2006-2009高点,日内在无消息无重要数据的推动下,可能较为困难,反而需警惕冲高回落的风险。 点位参考 2006-2009 高点阻力区 2000 非农回踩不破次高点阻力 1990-1992 短线重要阻力区,日内多空分界 1984 美盘回踩位置 1970-1975 关键支撑区,破位先看1960-1962

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