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昨天美国总统拜登的首席经济顾问、国家经济委员会主任布雷纳德表示,今年下半年通胀率应该会有所改善,到2024年11月美国大选时,通胀率有较大可能下降至2%附近。这说明美联储目前的加息已经显露成效,明年有望结束紧缩,步入降息的周期之中。     而昨天公布的美国数据再次体现经济韧性:因消费者支出增长强劲,一季度GDP增速终值超预期大幅上修,一季度美联储重视的通胀指标PCE物价指数增速小幅下修,未如预期持平初值;上周首次申请失业救济人数环比不增反降2.6万,创2021年10月以来最大降幅。       

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