Morning traders, the...from Smart Jet

Morning traders, the plan with the FOMC today is simple, we wait for the event, we listen to Powell carefully, and if he keeps the door open for another 25bps hike in June we jump into some Dollar longs at least until the NFP on Friday, if he doesn't, maybe we can get in some USDJPY shorts or most likely we will just wait for the next important fundamental development that will likely be the NFP on Friday Anyway, I think that Powell will keep the option for another 25bps hike so I would be leaning into USD longs today BUT Goldmans and others are all calling for the FED to signal a pause in hikes today, so I'm against the consensus in this view but that's also what makes this opportunity attractive, I mean, if Powell signals a pause the Dollar doesn't flinch much because that's expected already, if Powell signals another rate hike the Dollar strengthens quite a bit because that scenario is NOT priced

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‼️AUDUSD update, expecting a lot more downside fundamentally on this but shorter term it’s about to dip into decent support and a pullback feels appropriate so taking profit here at market price and then we will look for more USD longs after a decent pullback‼️

Smart Jet

Powell still speaking but so far not much forward guidance is being given, simply the FED is open to hiking further but also open to a pause depending on how the data develops until the next rate decision, so without much said from Powell the Dollar is rightfully basically flat after a bit of volatility on both sides, not a lot to do with it, will see where markets are at tomorrow at the London open but for now, no short term bias and no short term fundamental direction from this flat FOMC

Smart Jet

Morning traders, beautiful pullback on the Dollar to start the week, we let this unfold and extend as much as it wants then we will use it to position on Dollar longs at the right levels, I'm watching AUDUSD in particular, if we can short it once again from the 0.67600 resistance zone that would be great Other than that, loads of FED speakers are scheduled this week so we listen closely for hints at what they think their next move with the interest rate is, we want to hear hawkishness from them to further support Dollar strength, simply, the more another rate hike gets supported by FED speakers the more it gets priced in and thus the more the USD strengthens Will be back with the latest from Goldmans in a minute to see if they are taking any new trade

Smart Jet